Investment Office

SigmaX Investment Office

Continuous Capital Intelligence, governed by evidence.

SigmaX observes spot crypto and prediction markets, routes emerging opportunities through Investment Review, and advances only qualified ideas into deterministic capital-governance workflows.

AI analyzes · Evidence ranks · Validation disposes · Capital remains governed

Coinbase + Kalshi
0 surfaces
Investment Review
0 hypotheses
Consensus
0 reviewed
Evidence
0 candidates
Validation
0/4
Capital Governance
Calibration
0 events
Posture
Frozen — Live Submission Not Authorized0 certified · 0 open

AI analyzes · Deterministic validation disposes · Capital authority remains with the operator

This page is a read-only aggregation. No execution controls are present.

No live submitNo order placement importsNo trading credentials loadedNo capital-governance envelope writesAI cannot authorize capitalConsensus cannot authorize capital
Live posture
frozen
0 certified venues
Data freshness
unknown
last packet — ago
Runtime health
0 surfaces
Open positions
0
no live exposure
Rows collected
Data
0
book_top observations across active market surfaces
Investment Memos
Data
0
Investment Memos generated this review window
Quality warnings
Data
0
current data-quality issues reducing confidence
Candidates reviewed
Intelligence
0
product × setup candidates reviewed by Investment Review
Evidence-eligible
Intelligence
0
candidates with repeated observations for deeper review
Cooling off
Governance
0
candidates temporarily blocked by recent loss or cooldown logic
Weak ideas rejected
Value
0
candidates stopped before capital consideration
Open positions
Governance
0
live exposure currently tracked by SigmaX
Investment Review

Investment Review Activity.

Three specialist analysts review the same audit-backed Investment Memo: one searches for opportunity, one validates economics, and one stress-tests for risk before capital is considered. Consensus is closed-enum; the maximum recommendation is referral to the deterministic validation framework — never live authorization.

Opportunity Scout
Awaiting next Investment Memo

Finds emerging market opportunities and generates testable hypotheses.

0
hypotheses
run mode
evidence cited

The Scout proposes mechanism-grounded setups; it never claims a tradeable edge on a single packet.

Quant Validator
Awaiting hypotheses

Tests whether ideas survive fees, spread, slippage, fill probability, and adverse selection.

0
pass
0
fail
Calibrating
avg edge

The Validator decomposes gross edge against tier-0 fees, spread cost, and adverse selection.

Red Team / Risk Critic
Awaiting candidate set

Identifies blockers, hidden risks, cooldown conflicts, and reasons not to trade.

0
flags
0
vetos
top code

The Red Team flags overfitting, thin liquidity, recent loss, cooldown conflict, and certification scope mismatch.

Consensus distribution
Awaiting Investment Memo
closed-enum recommendations · maximum referral is promote_to_deterministic_gate_review
observe only0
collect more data0
evidence review0
reject0
promote → gate review0

Awaiting Investment Memo.

Value capture

How SigmaX Adds Value.

SigmaX adds value by reducing noise, rejecting weak ideas, pricing true execution costs, and protecting capital before exposure occurs.

Triaged candidates
0
candidate decisions handled by the intelligence stack
Weak ideas rejected
0
ideas stopped before capital consideration
Hard blockers
0
risk or governance failures preserved by Red Team and gates
Avoided loss estimate
modeled capital preserved by rejecting negative-edge candidates
Edge uplift
Calibrating
expected net-edge improvement after SigmaX filtering
Capital protected
notional prevented from reaching live exposure
Provenance Quality
Calibrating
last run was deterministic mock mode; provider provenance not applicable
Before SigmaX

Manual triage on raw market noise

  • Raw market noise
  • One-off signals
  • Unpriced fees
  • Manual triage
  • Higher false positives
After SigmaX

Evidence-ranked candidates, gated capital

  • Evidence-ranked candidates
  • Fee-aware economics
  • Red Team critique
  • Certified execution scope
  • Promotion discipline
Filtering pipeline

Candidate Filtering Pipeline.

Every candidate must move through evidence, economics, risk review, certification, and promotion logic before capital is considered. Drop-off at every stage is an intentional filter.

01Candidates surfaced by Scout
0
replay/ai_council/OPPORTUNITY_SCOUT_OUTPUT.json
02Validated by Quant
0
replay/ai_council/QUANT_VALIDATOR_OUTPUT.json
03Cleared Red Team veto
0
replay/ai_council/AGENT_CONSENSUS_PACKET.json
04Recommended for review
0
replay/ai_council/AGENT_CONSENSUS_PACKET.json
05Evidence-eligible cells
0
replay/evidence_scoreboard/COINBASE_MAKER_CANARY_EVIDENCE_SCOREBOARD.json
06Approaching profit eligibility
0
replay/evidence_scoreboard/COINBASE_MAKER_CANARY_EVIDENCE_SCOREBOARD.json
07Profit-eligible cells
0
replay/evidence_scoreboard/COINBASE_MAKER_CANARY_EVIDENCE_SCOREBOARD.json
08Open live positions
0
replay/certified_api_execution_router/OPEN_POSITIONS.json
Live observations

Latest Investment Memo.

No Investment Memo has been captured for the current window yet.

Persistence

Investment Evidence Tracker.

The tracker monitors persistence. Candidates must appear repeatedly, maintain execution quality, and avoid recent losses before promotion.

Tracked cells
0
Repeated cells
0
Evidence-eligible
0
Approaching profit
0
Profit-eligible
0
Cooling off
0
Stale evidence
0

No tracked cells yet.

Continuous runtime

Continuous Market Data Runtime.

Read-only collectors continuously observe Coinbase Spot and Kalshi prediction markets, producing normalized records, quality reports, and Investment Memos — without loading trading credentials or placing orders.

No surfaces in the current manifest.

Last run
run_id
started
finished
tick
duration
latest reports may lag finish
Health
runtime score
data freshness
unknown · —
warning rate
Investment Memos
0
Read-only attestation
  • No live submit
  • No order placement imports
  • No trading credentials loaded
  • No capital-governance envelope writes
  • AI cannot authorize capital
  • Consensus cannot authorize capital
Surface diagnostics
SurfaceHealthTicksbook_topdepthcatalogmetadataqualityScore
No surfaces in the manifest.
Capital discipline

Capital Governance & Validation Framework.

AI analysis does not authorize trades. Deterministic validation enforces certification scope, input integrity, cost realism, promotion rules, and capital-governance constraints.

Certified scope

No certifications recorded.

Account state
initial
current
peak
cumulative realized
closed trades
Open positions

None.

Active cooldowns

None.

Latest gate verdicts

Each verdict reflects the latest deterministic gate run on disk. Gates dispose; AI consensus refers.

input integrityunknown
no result on disk
fee awareunknown
no result on disk
certificationunknown
no result on disk
promotionunknown
no result on disk
Calibration

Calibration & Learning.

SigmaX is building calibration history. Analyst scorecards populate as hypotheses, validation decisions, and outcomes are paired through attribution records.

Calibrating. Awaiting paired outcomes. Scorecards remain Calibrating until a closed allocation is recorded against an attribution. Analysts do not get to grade themselves — outcomes do.

Learning events
0
Resolved outcomes
0
Scout hit rate
Calibrating
Quant edge error
Calibrating
Fee model error
Calibrating
Quant pass hit
Calibrating
Risk Review precision
Calibrating
Consensus accuracy
Calibrating
Graceful empty states

20 expected data feeds not captured yet.

Each panel above renders an empty state when a data feed is missing rather than failing. The dashboard never invents numbers.

generated 2026-06-05T09:01:47.539Z
Read-only. AI analyzes. Evidence ranks. Validation disposes. Capital remains governed. Live submission requires explicit operator confirmation through the certified execution path.